Political scientist. Senior intelligence analyst. U.S. Army veteran.
I write about intelligence failure, terrorism, and the moral reflexes that distort how the West reads conflict. My current writing is published on Substack; this site is the front door to it and the archive of the blog that preceded it.
Recent on Substack
- The Underdog Heuristic, Part One. Why the Left reaches for the powerful party before it asks what anyone did. Israel, the police, and the experiment that measured the reflex.
- How to Spot a Fake Intellectual. Why theatrical certainty is fooling millions
- Terrorism Is a Choice, Not a Symptom. Poverty, ignorance, and other comforting explanations keep getting terrorism wrong.
- New Peer-Reviewed Publication: A Target-Centric Lens on Terrorism vs. Guerrilla Warfare. Why classification should start with target selection, not rhetoric, motive-guessing, or political branding.
- Hormuz to Nuclear Blackmail: Iran’s Targeting Strategy. My new analysis in the Jewish Policy Center’s inFOCUS Quarterly.
- New in RealClearDefense: The Counting Has Stopped
Published Elsewhere
- “A Target-Centric Approach to Distinguishing Between Terrorism and Guerrilla Warfare,” Studies in Conflict & Terrorism, January 2026. Read
- “Congress Ordered an Annual Accounting of Terrorism. The Counting Has Stopped.” RealClearDefense, September 28, 2026. Read
- “Hormuz to Nuclear Blackmail: Iran’s Targeting Strategy.” inFOCUS Quarterly, Jewish Policy Center, July 2026. Read
- “The West Still Confuses Weakness with Virtue.” American Thinker, July 2, 2026. Read
- “Iran Was Never Just Israel’s Problem.” The Algemeiner, March 26, 2026. Read
- “How to Respond When Your Friends Cite Hamas’ Casualty Numbers.” The Algemeiner, February 17, 2026. Read
Full portfolio: Muck Rack
Books and Research
Failure to Adapt: How Strategic Blindness Undermines Intelligence, Warfare, and Perception (TRAC Intelligence Press, 2025). Companion site | Amazon
“The Underdog Heuristic: Perceived Power Position and the Threshold of Moral Scrutiny.” Pre-registered experiment, preprint on Zenodo, September 2026. Read the preprint
The Underdog Heuristic: Power, Morality, and the Left’s Cognitive Shortcut. Book in preparation.
The posts I published here from 2012 to 2023 remain available in the Archive.
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